House price forecast for the next two decades

The latest research from leading online estate agent Mashroom highlights the potential task faced by the next generation of aspirational buyers, if the government fails to provide more affordable housing to address the current stock shortage, and if prices continue to grow at the same pace as the last two decades.

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Mashroom analysed data from the Land Registry over the last two decades to calculate the percentage increases in property values across England and Wales. The same increase was then applied to today’s average property values across each region to anticipate what property will cost in 10 and 20 years’ time if it continues to increase at the same rate.

The Next 10 Years

In the next decade, if prices across England were to increase by 29% as they have done since 2007, it would bring average house price up to £301,864. London could jump to a staggering £866,719 if property values continue to increase at the same pace as they have in the last 10 years (80%), making it all but impossible for aspirational buyers to get on the capital’s property ladder.

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The South East’s average property cost today is £313,334 but would rise to £445,159 in 10 years as a result of a further 42% increase, while the East of England follows with prices up 43% in the last 10 years, which would see the average property value climb to £397,335 in the next decade. There are certain regions in England and Wales that would maintain affordable price tags in 2027.

Both Wales and the North West could increase at a gradual pace and based on the current market trends, the average property in 10 years could cost £154,072 and £158,131, respectively. Both the East and West Midlands would also remain within reach with the average price sat around the £200,000 mark (E: £205,870 & W: £183,883).

The Next 20 Years

In the last 20 years, the average house price in England has increased by 320%. Although it is unlikely that property prices will continue at this rate, a further 320% increase in the value of property across England would push the average property value to the exuberant height of £983,826. The potential percentage increases over the next two decades are even more alarming in certain regions and would put property completely out of reach for those looking to buy.

In London, if the market continues to inflate at such a dangerous rate, the average property cost would climb by a further 480%, putting the average house price at an eye-watering £2,792,783.

The South East could climb to £1,422,708 over two decades if prices increased by another 354%, trailed by the East of England where the average house price would hit £1,311,380 after climbing 371%. As before, the markets in Wales and the North West would still grow gradually remaining just about affordable for those looking to get on the ladder in 20 years, with the average property price in Wales hitting £494,731, while the North West could jump to £533,010.

The West Midlands would also remain under the £600,000 mark (£560,037), but the East Midlands would see prices tip beyond this boundary to a demonic £666,178. Despite seeing prices fall in the last decade, the North East market has climbed in the last 20 years. If it were again to stabilise over the coming 20 years, homeowner would see prices once again on the up, although at just £380,753, it is by far the most affordable area of England and Wales for future homeowners.

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Mashroom is an appointed representative of Adelphi Insurance Brokers Ltd. Adelphi Insurance Brokers Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). Their Financial Services Register number is 594620, with permitted business activities being introducing, advising, arranging, dealing as agent, assisting in the administration and performance of general insurance contracts and credit broking in relation to insurance instalment facilities. You may check this on the Financial Services Register by visiting the FCA’s website, or by contacting the FCA on 0800 111 6768